Jailbreak susceptibility prediction and mitigation via the behavioral geometry of models

Evaluating and mitigating a generative system's susceptibility to jailbreak attacks is critical to its safe deployment. Given the number of deployable systems, full per-configuration evaluation and optimization is impractical. In this paper, we formalize the behavioral geometry of a population of models that, by leveraging previously evaluated and defended models, supports both efficient susceptibility prediction and effective defense transfer across a population. We apply the framework to 79 models spanning 24 providers and to 100 system configurations of a single base model. Simple methods that use the behavioral geometry reach an AUPRC of $0.94$ for susceptibility detection with $\approx98\%$ fewer probes relative to a full evaluation. Using the behavioral geometry to select which model to transfer an optimized defense from outperforms same-provider assignment ($+2\%$, $p = 0.03$) at no additional probe cost, with a set of three models sufficient to cover the population. Results are robust to hyperparameter selection and judge.